Impeach Bush and Cheney: Virginia Compromise Bumper Sticker and Rassmussen Reports

RASMUSSEN REPORTS (Click Here For Rassmussen Home Page and Additional Reporting and Polling Data)

Wednesday, July 25, 2007

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani tied for the lead in the race for the Republican Presidential nomination.

Both men attract support from 25% of Likely Republican Primary Voters.

Arizona Senator John McCain is the first choice for 12% and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is preferred by 11%. (see daily history).

Mike Huckabee is favored by 3%, Sam Brownback by 2% and four other candidates (Ron Paul, Tom Tancredo, Duncan Hunter, Tommy Thompson, and Sam Brownback) split 2% of the vote.

Twenty percent (20%) are undecided. The latest Rasmussen Reports analysis notes that “the race for the Republican Presidential nomination is wide open.”

In the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination, New York Senator Hillary Clinton holds a commanding lead and attracts 40% support from Likely Democratic Primary Voters.

Illinois Senator Barack Obama is in second with 23% support and former North Carolina Senator John Edwards is third at 15% (see daily history).

New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson and Delaware Senator Joe Biden each attract 3% of the vote while Congressman Dennis Kucinich earns 2% support.

Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd is at the 1% level while former Alaska Senator Mike Gravel attracts about a quarter of a percent. Fourteen percent (14%) are not sure how they will vote.

This data is collected from nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. As a result, nearly three-quarters of the interviews were completed before Monday night’s debate among the Democratic contenders.

A Rasmussen Reports analysis suggests that “only a major gaffe or startling policy pronouncement will break through the news clutter and impact the general public’s view of the race.”

Forty-one percent (41%) of Likely Voters believe President Bush should be censured while 47% disagree. Senator Russell Feingold, the primary legislative advocate for censure, is viewed favorably by 18% of Americans. However, when told of his position on censure, the number with a favorable view of Feingold jumps to 41%.

In general election match-ups, Clinton and Obama trounce Congressman Ron Paul (R) by fifteen and twenty points respectively. See summary of general election match-ups and other data for all Democratic and Republican Presidential candidates.

A separate survey found that Obama, Clinton, and Thompson are currently the only candidates with base support of 25% or more (i.e.—people who will vote for them no matter who else is on the ballot). Clinton, clearly the most defined candidate in the field, also has the highest percentage committed to voting against her if she is on the ballot in 2008.

Other recent releases show that just 36% of Likely Voters believe the U.S. and its allies are winning the War on Terror. An equal percentage believes that the terrorists are winning.

The Rasmussen Reports Election 2008 Presidential Tracking Poll is updated daily, Monday through Friday. New results are posted each day by noon Eastern for the Republican and Democratic Presidential Nomination competitions along with general election match-ups, state polls, and information on the issues that drive the campaign. The tracking poll will be expanded to seven days a week before the calendar turns to 2008.
Daily tracking results are from survey interviews conducted over four days ending last night.

Each update includes approximately 750-800 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 600-650 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General election match-ups, favorability ratings, and ideological perceptions are regularly updated for all Republican and Democratic Presidential candidates. Also, favorability rating are updated regularly key Members of Congress, Journalists and Other Political Figures.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.