Impeachment; Impeach Bush and Cheney; American Research Group Poll Data Is In! YES!!!

IMPEACHMENT POLL DATA PLUS PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE UPDATE DATA:

Now Maybe the other pollsters will get off their collective asses and get to work instead of hiding like frightened rabbits!

American Research Group, Inc.
http://americanresearchgroup.com/



Question:
Do you approve or disapprove of President George W. Bush commuting the 30-month prison sentence of I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby while leaving intact Mr. Libby's conviction for perjury and obstruction of justice in the CIA leak case?

7/5/07
Approve
Disapprove
Undecided

All Adults
31%
64%
5%
Voters
26%
69%
5%

Democrats (38%)
13%
76%
11%
Republicans (29%)
50%
47%
3%
Independents (33%)
19%
80%
1%

Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered voters.


Question:
Do you favor or oppose a complete presidential pardon for Mr. Libby?

7/5/07
Favor
Oppose
Undecided

All Adults
11%
84%
5%
Voters
9%
84%
7%

Democrats (38%)
7%
82%
11%
Republicans (29%)
23%
70%
7%
Independents (33%)
2%
97%
1%

Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered voters.


Question:
Do you favor or oppose the US House of Representatives beginning impeachment proceedings against President George W. Bush?

7/5/07
Favor
Oppose
Undecided

All Adults
45%
46%
9%
Voters
46%
44%
10%

Democrats (38%)
69%
22%
9%
Republicans (29%)
13%
86%
1%
Independents (33%)
50%
30%
20%

3/15/06
42%
49%
9%

Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered voters.


Question:
Do you favor or oppose the US House of Representatives beginning impeachment proceedings against Vice President Dick Cheney?

7/5/07
Favor
Oppose
Undecided

All Adults
54%
40%
6%
Voters
50%
44%
6%

Democrats (38%)
76%
24%
-
Republicans (29%)
17%
83%
-
Independents (33%)
51%
29%
20%

Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered voters.

Even more Americans want proceedings against CheneyWorldNetDaily, OR - 15 hours agoThe private American Research Group survey indicated 45 percent want the president impeached while 54 percent want the House to launch impeachment ...Poll: 54 percent favor Cheney impeachment. Think ProgressAmericans Seek Bush's Impeachment Alalam News Networkall 6 news articles »


-Libby poll bump seems unlikely for BushSeattle Post Intelligencer - 14 hours agoPollster.com analyzes a recent American Research Group poll about the Libby commutation. Of the AGR survey, Pollster.com says: The results are strongly ...Poll finds 45% of Americans favor impeaching President Bush Blogger News Networkall 246 news articles »



-Americans want impeachment for Bush-CheneyMalaysia Sun, Malaysia - 9 hours agoThe survey by the American Research Group found that 45 per cent support the start of impeachment proceedings against Mr Bush. Even more startling are the ...Americans Asked: Should Bush, Cheney Be Impeached? ShortNews.comNearly half Americans want Bush impeached ABC OnlineMore Than Half of Americans Support Kucinich's Call to Impeach ... PR Newswire (press release)AHN - Raw Storyall 40 news articles »

Majority Would Support Cheney ImpeachmentIraqSlogger - 17 hours ago... Vice President Dick Cheney, and 45% would favor the same for the president, according to a new poll released this week by the American Research Group.
The National Economy

Voice of AmericaResearch Group Calls for Phased Withdrawal of US Troops From IraqVoice of America - Jun 28, 2007The Washington-based Center for a New American Security is urging the Bush administration to end its current surge of US troops and withdraw 100000 soldiers ...


http://news.google.com/news?um=1&tab=wn&channel=s&client=firefox-a&hl=en&rls=org.mozilla%3Aen-US%3Aofficial&q=americans%20want%20impeachment%20


2008 Presidential Polls:
R - Republican PrimaryD - Democratic Primary
Alabama - R D
Arizona - R D
Arkansas - R D
California - R D
Colorado - R D
Connecticut - R D
Florida - R D
Illinois - R D
Iowa - R D
Maine - R D
Massachusetts - R D
Michigan - R D
Missouri - R D
Nevada - R D
New Hampshire - R D
New Jersey - R D
New Mexico - R D
New York - R D
North Carolina - R D
Oklahoma - R D
Pennsylvania - R D
Rhode Island - R D
South Carolina - R D
Texas - R D
Utah - R D
Vermont - R D
West Virginia - R D


The New Hampshire Poll


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July 6, 2007

Question:

Do you approve or disapprove of President George W. Bush commuting the 30-month prison sentence of I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby while leaving intact Mr. Libby's conviction for perjury and obstruction of justice in the CIA leak case?


7/5/07-Approve-Disapprove-Undecided

All Adults-31%-64%-5%
Voters-26%-69%-5%

Democrats (38%)-13%-76%-11%
Republicans (29%)-50%-47%-3%
Independents (33%)-19%-80%-1%

Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered voters.

Question:
Do you favor or oppose a complete presidential pardon for Mr. Libby?

7/5/07-Favor-Oppose-Undecided

All Adults-11%-84%-5%
Voters-9%-84%-7%

Democrats (38%)-7%-82%-11%
Republicans (29%)-23%-70%-7%
Independents (33%)-2%-97%-1%

Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered voters.


Question:
Do you favor or oppose the US House of Representatives beginning impeachment proceedings against President George W. Bush?

7/5/07-Favor-Oppose-Undecided

All Adults-45%-46%-9%
Voters-46%-44%-10%

Democrats (38%)-69%-22%-9%
Republicans (29%)-13%-86%-1%
Independents (33%)-50%-30%-20%

3/15/06-42%-49%-9%

Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered voters.


Question:
Do you favor or oppose the US House of Representatives beginning impeachment proceedings against Vice President Dick Cheney?

7/5/07-Favor-Oppose-Undecided

All Adults-54%-40%-6%
Voters-50%-44%-6%

Democrats (38%)-76%-24%--
Republicans (29%)-17%-83%--
Independents (33%)-51%-29%-20%

Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered voters.

June 30, 2007 - Presidential Preferences
Democrats-IA-NH-SC

Biden-2%-4%-3%
Clark-1%-1%-1%
Clinton-32%-34%-37%
Dodd-2%-3%-2%
Edwards-29%-11%-22%
Gravel-1%-2%--
Kucinich-1%-3%-2%
Obama-13%-25%-21%
Richardson-5%-6%-1%
Undecided-14%-11%-11%
John Edwards is at 33% among women in Iowa and Hillary Clinton is at 32% among women in Iowa. Among men in Iowa, Clinton leads Edwards 32% to 23%.
For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008 Presidential Polls.
Republicans-IA-NH-SC

Brownback-3%-1%-1%
Gilmore-----1%
Giuliani-18%-19%-22%
Gingrich-5%-4%-6%
Hagel-1%----
Huckabee-1%-1%-3%
Hunter-1%-1%-2%
McCain-13%-21%-23%
Pataki------
Paul-1%-1%--
Romney-25%-27%-8%
Tancredo-1%-1%-1%
F Thompson-14%-10%-19%
T Thompson-3%----
Undecided-14%-14%-14%
John McCain has lost support among Republican men in Iowa and South Carolina while Fred Thompson has picked up support among Republican men.
For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008 Presidential Polls.
June 22, 2007
Bush Job Approval Ratings
6/21/07-Approve-Disapprove-Undecided

Overall-27%-67%-6%
Economy-29%-64%-7%
Two-thirds of Americans disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president. Details from the nationwide survey conducted June 18-21 are available at The National Economy.

June 20, 2007 - Presidential Preferences
Democrats-Nevada

Biden-2%
Clark-1%
Clinton-40%
Dodd-1%
Edwards-16%
Gravel-1%
Kucinich-2%
Obama-16%
Richardson-6%
Undecided-15%
Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama 44% to 15% among women in Nevada, with John Edwards at 10%. Clinton leads Edwards 35% to 24% among men in Nevada, with Obama at 17%.
For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008 Presidential Polls.
Republicans-Nevada
-
Brownback-1%
Gilmore-2%
Giuliani-21%
Gingrich-3%
Hagel--
Huckabee-1%
Hunter--
McCain-16%
Pataki--
Paul-1%
Romney-23%
Tancredo-1%
F Thompson-16%
T Thompson-1%
Undecided-15%
Among women in Nevada, Rudy Giuliani leads Mitt Romney 29% to 27%, with 10% for John McCain and 9% for Fred Thompson. Among men in Nevada, McCain and Fred Thompson are tied at 21% each, followed by Romney at 19% and Giuliani at 15%.
For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008 Presidential Polls.

June 13, 2007 - National Presidential Preferences
The following results are based on nationwide samples of 600 likely Democratic primary voters and 600 likely Republican primary voters (those saying they will definitely vote in a primary or participate in a caucus in 2008) conducted June 9-12, 2007. The theoretical margin of error for each sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time.
Hillary Clinton's support is unchanged from May. Support for Barack Obama has dropped 12 percentage points from March.
National Primary
Democrats-Mar 2007-Apr 2007-May 2007-Jun 2007

Biden-1%-2%-3%-3%
Clark-1%-1%-1%-2%
Clinton-34%-36%-39%-39%
Dodd-1%-1%-2%-1%
Edwards-15%-19%-19%-13%
Gravel-------1%
Kucinich-1%-1%-1%-1%
Obama-31%-24%-22%-19%
Richardson-2%-2%-2%-5%
Undecided-14%-14%-11%-16%
Hillary Clinton continues to lead among women. In May, 47% of women said they would vote for Clinton. Barack Obama leads among independents saying they will definitely vote in a Democratic primary or participate in a Democratic caucus.
National Primary
Democrats-Dem (84%)-Ind (16%)-Men (44%)-Women (56%)

Biden-3%-5%-2%-3%
Clark-2%---4%--
Clinton-42%-23%-31%-46%
Dodd-1%---1%-1%
Edwards-14%-7%-13%-13%
Gravel-1%---2%--
Kucinich-1%-1%-1%-1%
Obama-17%-29%-21%-18%
Richardson-3%-14%-8%-3%
Undecided-16%-21%-17%-15%

Rudy Giuliani continues to lead among Republicans, but he has lost 10 percentage points in support since March.
National Primary
Republicans-Mar 2007-Apr 2007-May 2007-Jun 2007

Brownback-1%-1%-1%-1%
Gilmore-1%---1%-1%
Giuliani-34%-27%-28%-24%
Gingrich-12%-10%-13%-12%
Hagel-1%-1%-1%-1%
Huckabee-1%-1%-1%-1%
Hunter-----1%-1%
McCain-30%-23%-24%-20%
Pataki-1%------
Paul-1%---1%-1%
Romney-7%-12%-8%-10%
Tancredo-1%-1%-1%-1%
F Thompson-ni-9%-6%-15%
T Thompson-1%-1%-1%-1%
Undecided-9%-14%-13%-11%
Rudy Giuliani leads among Republicans and women likely to vote in a Republican primary or participate in a Republican caucus while John McCain leads among independents and men.
National Primary
Republicans-Rep (89%)-Ind (11%)-Men (54%)-Women (46%)

Brownback-1%---1%-1%
Gilmore-1%---1%-1%
Giuliani-25%-19%-17%-33%
Gingrich-12%-9%-16%-7%
Hagel-1%---1%--
Huckabee-1%-----2%
Hunter-1%---1%-1%
McCain-18%-38%-21%-19%
Pataki--------
Paul-1%---2%--
Romney-10%-9%-11%-9%
Tancredo-1%---1%--
F Thompson-15%-11%-16%-14%
T Thompson-1%---1%--
Undecided-12%-14%-11%-13%


April 12, 2007 - Likely Primary Voters on Iraq
There are stark differences between likely Democratic and Republican primary voters over Iraq.
The following results are based on nationwide samples of 600 likely Democratic primary voters (PV) and 600 likely Republican primary voters (PV) conducted April 9-12, 2007. The theoretical margin of error for each sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time. Primary preferences for each party are below.
Question:
Do you believe that the United States can win the war in Iraq, or not?

-Can win -No-Undecided

Democratic PV-17%-70%-13%
Republican PV-75%-20%-5%
85% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 71% of those voting for John Edwards, and 64% of those voting for Barack Obama say they do not believe the United States can win the war in Iraq.
86% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 62% of those voting for Rudy Giuliani, and 68% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they believe the United States can win the war in Iraq.

Question:
Do you favor or oppose setting a deadline for the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq

-Favor-Oppose-Undecided

Democratic PV-70%-17%-13%
Republican PV-17%-77%-6%
74% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 57% of those voting for John Edwards, and 81% of those voting for Barack Obama say they favor setting a deadline for the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq.
89% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 63% of those voting for Rudy Giuliani, and 62% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they oppose setting a deadline for the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq.

Question:
Do you favor or oppose the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even if it means an increase in violence among the Iraqi people?

-Favor-Oppose-Undecided

Democratic PV-53%-31%-16%
Republican PV-16%-77%-7%
62% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 50% of those voting for John Edwards, and 54% of those voting for Barack Obama say they favor the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even if it means an increase in violence among the Iraqi people.
91% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 64% of those voting for Rudy Giuliani, and 64% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they oppose the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even if it means an increase in violence among the Iraqi people.

Question:
Do you favor or oppose the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even if it means violence could spread to other countries in the region?

-Favor-Oppose-Undecided

Democratic PV-56%-33%-11%
Republican PV-15%-80%-5%
73% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 50% of those voting for John Edwards, and 48% of those voting for Barack Obama say they favor the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even if it means violence could spread to other countries in the region.
93% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 66% of those voting for Rudy Giuliani, and 63% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they oppose the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even if it means violence could spread to other countries in the region.

Question:
If the United States withdrew all troops from Iraq, do you believe that the terrorists fighting in Iraq would travel to the United States to fight here, or not?

-Travel-Not-Undecided

Democratic PV-23%-70%-7%
Republican PV-61%-34%-5%
67% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 84% of those voting for John Edwards, and 71% of those voting for Barack Obama say they do not believe that the terrorists fighting in Iraq would travel to the United States to fight if the US withdrew all troops from Iraq.
71% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 45% of those voting for Rudy Giuliani, and 53% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they believe that the terrorists fighting in Iraq would travel to the United States to fight if the US withdrew all troops from Iraq.

ARG's Electoral Vote Calculator has been updated to reflect the 2004 results. Assign states to the Republican or Democrat for 2008 and watch it calculate the electoral votes for president at Electoral Vote Calculator.


The margins of error reported for most polls underestimate the actual margins of error for ballot estimates from the same samples. Use the Ballot Lead Calculator to determine if the lead for any survey is statistically significant.


The New Hampshire Poll:
Results from the June 2007 Quarterly New Hampshire Poll are available at The New Hampshire Poll. NH residents rate NH business conditions, their personal finances, John Lynch, and George W. Bush.

American Research Group, Inc. 814 Elm Street Manchester, NH 03101 603/624-4081 http://www.americanresearchgroup.com